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The Chinese Consulate General in Los Angeles reminded citizens in China to take precautions against mountain fires. Recently, a sudden mountain fire disaster occurred in Malibu, California, USA, causing evacuation and some property losses. The Consulate General in Los Angeles would like to remind China citizens in the consular district to pay attention to the dynamics of mountain fires in a timely manner, make reasonable arrangements for travel, and avoid going to relevant areas; Comply with the local government's disaster avoidance and evacuation guidelines; Scientific protection to reduce the impact of mountain fire smoke on health.A special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic of Russia, was attacked by drones. Russian military media said that a special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic, was attacked by Ukrainian drones in the early hours of the 12 th. Up to now, the Ukrainian side has not responded.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.

Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The purpose of the opposition's impeachment is to evade the legal responsibility of its leader Li Zaiming by holding an early general election.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: I will face impeachment, investigation or any possible situation; My martial law attempt cannot constitute rebellion. Martial law is the president's decision to protect the country's freedom, democracy and constitutional order from the dictatorship of the opposition parliament.

High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.